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	<title>There Is No Plan &#187; The Gamble</title>
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	<description>Risk-averse policymakers should not read this blog.</description>
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		<title>Leaving Iraq. More Powerful Arguments Against.</title>
		<link>http://www.thereisnoplan.com/2009/03/04/leaving-iraq-more-powerful-arguments-against/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thereisnoplan.com/2009/03/04/leaving-iraq-more-powerful-arguments-against/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 18:49:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>coolrebel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Washington]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Basra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cheney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Maliki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sadr]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shiite]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sunni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Gamble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Ricks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US withdrawal from Iraq]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thereisnoplan.wordpress.com/?p=910</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tom Ricks&#8217; new book &#8220;The Gamble&#8221; is going to make some waves, and the author&#8217;s interview on NPR this morning is just the latest.  This blog is an advocate of Obama leaving US troops in Iraq for the long term. It&#8217;s becoming increasingly clear that Obama is caught between a rock and a hard [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_912" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 128px"><img class="size-medium wp-image-912" title="the_gamble" src="http://thereisnoplan.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/the_gamble.jpg?w=118" alt="there are some gambles that you just don't take. nation-building in iraq is definitely one of them" width="118" height="180" /><p class="wp-caption-text">there are some gambles that you just don&#39;t take. nation-building in iraq is definitely one of them</p></div>
<p>Tom Ricks&#8217; new book &#8220;The Gamble&#8221; is going to make some waves, <a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=101395478" target="_blank">and the author&#8217;s interview on NPR this morning is just the latest</a>.  This blog is an <a href="http://thereisnoplan.wordpress.com/wp-admin/post.php?action=edit&amp;post=865" target="_self">advocate of Obama leaving US troops in Iraq for the long term</a>. It&#8217;s becoming increasingly clear that Obama is caught between a rock and a hard place in his Iraq policy. If he leaves he runs the risk of renewed violence after we&#8217;re gone. If he stays, he&#8217;ll be charged with breaking his promise to withdraw.</p>
<p>But facing the political heat at home in the short term would be far wiser than risking a bloodbath in Iraq after we close the door behind our last guys out, which will be bad news for US foreign policy and would cause an about turn from a fickle US public who&#8217;d suddenly tell him he should have stuck it out.  Ricks makes the point in his NPR interview that he has &#8217;sympathy&#8217; for Obama. Clearly, Bush left him with an intolerable mess and it will take superior leadership from our new Commander-in-chief to escape the jam with minimum damage. But in order to do so, hard choices have to be made. Obama has yet to prove he&#8217;s a tough choice kind of guy, despite his rhetoric to the contrary. Iraq is an arena that he has to get right.</p>
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