There Is No Plan

Risk-averse policymakers should not read this blog.

Archive for the ‘Wall Street’ tag

The Inherent Wisdom of Sheep

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stocktrader460276

central casting

“I have no idea”, said one JP Morgan Chase economist today when asked by the New York Times why the Dow shot up over 550 points on the same day yet more recession indicators piled on. That seems to be the best response under the circumstances, but it belies a more serious problem. For years, we’ve been told to trust the market, to listen to the market. We were told that the market has an inherent wisdom.

The inherent wisdom of sheep more like.

Someone decided that the rally was due and bought. Someone else said “things are bottoming out”, and he told his mates. His mates told their mates, and they all got back in to earn some bucks with someone elses tired, downtrodden money. The herd mentality is not a signifier of great intelligence – quite the opposite. And this level of absurd, illogical, delusional volatility is a signal of worse to come. So please, for once and for all, let’s stop listening to the market – oh, and enough of those images of Wall Street traders watching the screens with panic and despair on their faces.

If I could earn a Euro for every time one of those…

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Written by coolrebel

November 13th, 2008 at 5:33 pm

Paulson – The Man With The Plan

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Man With Plan

Man With Plan

After nationalizing Fannie and Freddie, then letting Lehman Brothers die for no apparent reason, then bailing out AIG to the tune of $85 billion (now around $150 billion but who’s counting), Hank Paulson sat back to watch the credit markets unfreeze. But instead they just froze up some more.

Hank was totally bummed. “This job totally sucks”.

“The credit freeze just keeps on freezing”, he said to his posse of former Goldman Sachs hacks. “What the frick do I do?”

“You need one big plan”, said Neel Cash and Carry, “not just a whole bunch of little plans stuck together”. Hank nodded furiously. “Yes, yes, that’s right”. After scribbling a few notes on the back of a dry cleaning bill he looked up. “I’ve got it”. Read the rest of this entry »

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Written by coolrebel

November 12th, 2008 at 11:18 pm

Why Does Anyone Still Care About Wall Street?

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Wall Street is now totally disconnected from economic reality. Every day there’s more bad news, and half the time Wall Street is “rallying”. The reason is simple. It’s a closed market. It doesn’t have much to do with you and me, and now with the world crumbling, there’s less incentive than ever to pay attention to the indicators. Why not just buy and sell with other people’s money, going short or picking up bargains as the recession deepens. And yet the press dutifully trots out the Dow Jones and Nasdaq averages as if they actually mean something. But the truth is they’re getting to be as irrelevant as the latest Box Office Top Ten. Read the rest of this entry »

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Written by coolrebel

November 7th, 2008 at 4:00 pm

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